Villeroi, Governing Committee of the European Central Bank: Interest rates will be cut several times next year. Francois Villeroy de Galhau, a member of the Board of Governors of the European Central Bank, said that the European Central Bank will further reduce borrowing costs in 2025, and there is still a way to go before monetary policy is no longer restrictive. "There will be more interest rate cuts next year, and many times," he said on BFM Business TV on Friday He added that the central bank did not promise the specific interest rate trajectory in advance, but was "quite satisfied with the financial market forecast". The current expectation of the swap market is to cut interest rates by about 120 basis points by the end of next year.During the policy landing period, the market may become a structural market, which is expected to further benefit the performance of high-interest stocks. On December 13, the Standard & Poor's dividend ETF(562060) closed down by 1.93%, with a turnover of 35.7287 million yuan. Puyin International pointed out that next year, before the two sessions next year, it will enter the policy landing period, and more detailed policies will be gradually implemented. The superimposed overseas uncertainty may increase with Trump's coming to power, so we expect the market to present a structural market. Based on the profit growth rate, capital stock, liquidity and market sentiment, the overall performance of A shares may be more stable than that of overseas Chinese shares. Investment trading strategy suggests both offensive and defensive. When the market sentiment improves and the stock index rebounds, it is expected that the high beta sector, such as non-bank finance, optional and mandatory consumption, real estate and other sectors and individual stocks may be more elastic. When the market sentiment is low and the stock index fluctuates downward, funds may prefer more defensive sectors, such as telecommunications services. There are many high-quality and high-interest stocks in the defensive sector. There is still room for the Bank of China to cut interest rates further next year, which is expected to further benefit the performance of high-interest stocks.Bank of China Securities Guan Tao: As long as the economy is stable and risks are prevented, the spring of China's capital market can be expected. The Central Economic Work Conference will be held in Beijing from December 11th to 12th. Guan Tao, global chief economist of Bank of China Securities, said that the meeting continued the policy thinking since the end of September and emphasized the need to implement more active and promising macro policies. Among them, implementing a more active fiscal policy is an important point to strengthen unconventional countercyclical adjustment. I believe that as long as the economy is stable and risks are prevented, the spring of China's capital market can be expected.
Shengyi Technology: The total sales volume of the company's rigid copper clad laminate ranks second in the world. Shengyi Technology said at the collective exchange meeting of investors that according to the statistics and ranking of the global rigid copper clad laminate in 2023 by Prismark of the United States, the total sales volume of the company's rigid copper clad laminate ranks second in the world, with a global market share of 14%. Regarding the growth trend of AI server, the company said that the upgrade iteration of hardware equipment related to AI server is fast, and the product form is quite different from that of previous wired products. The company can quickly respond to customer requirements and provide solutions. It is expected that AI applications will gradually develop from large model training to application in the future, and it is expected to achieve good growth.The Zhuhai earthquake did not meet the emergency response standard, so citizens need not worry too much. On December 13th, some Zhuhai citizens felt obvious vibration, and many people suspected that an earthquake had occurred. Some citizens felt the vibration during lunch break, and some people felt the building shaking in the office. On the afternoon of the 13th, the reporter called the Seismological Bureau of Guangdong Province, and the relevant staff responded that at about 1: 25 noon on December 13th, a magnitude 2.1 earthquake occurred in the urban area of Zhuhai, so citizens need not worry too much. Because the magnitude of the earthquake did not reach the preset emergency response standard, the relevant departments did not start the emergency response mechanism, so the earthquake quick report information was not released. The staff member said that the bureau is also concerned about the public's concern about the earthquake, and is currently conducting corresponding research and judgment, and will issue corresponding research and judgment opinions later. (Nanfang Daily)Market News: Due to weak sales in the United States, Nissan halved the output of its Mexican factory.
Barclays: The Central Economic Work Conference released more signals of policy support, which was held in Beijing from December 11th to 12th. The Barclays research team said that the Central Economic Work Conference provided more forward-looking guidance and released more policy support signals. Barclays said that on the whole, the meeting made it clear that "stable economic growth should be maintained next year" and emphasized "implementing more active macro policies" and "vigorously boosting consumption". The agency believes that regulators are more likely to introduce policies in a gradual manner. At the same time, when measuring the rhythm, scale and composition of the next round of measures, we should focus on the development and changes of real estate and stock market. Barclays expects that a more specific financial plan will be announced in March next year. In terms of monetary policy, the meeting proposed to implement a "moderately loose monetary policy". Barclays believes that this change in wording and position has released a positive signal, especially considering the current environment, it is expected that the central bank may cut interest rates significantly in the future. (SSE)Shanghai Electric established a new company including machinery and equipment sales business. According to the enterprise search APP, Shanghai Dixi New Energy Co., Ltd. was established with Ye Can as its legal representative and registered capital of 1 million yuan. Its business scope includes: power generation business, power transmission business and power supply (distribution) business; Installation, maintenance and testing of power transmission, power supply and power reception facilities; Mechanical equipment sales; Mechanical and electrical equipment sales, etc. Enterprise survey shows that the company is wholly owned by Shanghai Electric New Energy Development Co., Ltd., a subsidiary of Shanghai Electric.It is reported that Canada is considering imposing export taxes on commodities such as uranium and oil to counter Trump's tariff threat. Canada is studying the imposition of export taxes on major commodities exported to the United States, including uranium, oil and potash, in the case that Trump fulfills the comprehensive tariff threat. Officials familiar with the internal discussions of Canadian Prime Minister Trudeau's government said that the export tax would be Canada's last resort. According to people familiar with the matter, retaliatory tariffs on goods made in the United States and export controls on some Canadian products are more likely to come first. However, these officials said that if Trump decides to launch a full-scale trade war, the commodity export tax is a practical option, which will push up the costs of American consumers, farmers and enterprises. They said that the Trudeau government may also propose to expand its export control power in the latest report on the country's financial and economic situation scheduled to be released on Monday. It is reported that Canada is currently the largest external oil supplier in the United States. Some refineries rely on cheaper Canadian heavy crude oil, and there are few other options. The impact of rising costs is particularly severe in the Midwest of the United States, where nearly half of the crude oil used by fuel producers to produce gasoline and diesel comes from Canada.